A cold front is moving through the region tonight, hence the rain, and will bring cooler temps late this week and weekend with temps maxing out in the 40s. The front will stall just off the East Coast and a weak area of low pressure will develop. As this weak storm heads north, it could try to push precip back to the coastline, which would fall as snow or sleet with temps in the low 30s. The question remains, though: How far west will this storm come, and thus how much precipitation will make it to the coast?
Today's afternoon model runs moved a little west with the storm's precipitation shield. The result is that our models pretty much have Southern Maryland seeing some light, accumulating snow between 3am and 9am Friday morning. Verbatim, some areas on the Eastern Shore would see a couple of inches, while other areas closer to I-95, could get just flurries or no snow at all. Will that scenario play out? Potentially, but storms like these have busted before, so you must take all of this with a grain of salt, and I am a little skeptical about this.
The Bottom Line is that some light snow is possible right now Friday Morning. If I had to throw a number on it, I'd say about a 40% chance. Any snow would fall between 3am and 9am, and that would spell some trouble for the morning commute, but nothing too major. Before anyone asks, it's too early to even speculate on School Odds for Friday. If this threat is legitimate, then expect School Odds tomorrow. A coating to an inch is possible. However, I'll update that, and do an actual forecast map, tomorrow afternoon if conditions warrant.
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