Winter made its grand entrance on Saturday with a snow that was more than conversational for some areas, but nowhere near significant. The week-ahead forecast brings more cold air, and two more chances for wintry weather. The first wintry threat comes Wednesday night and Thursday as a weak system coming from the Plains may try to throw flurries our way. As for the second... could it be two snowy weekends in a row?
A reprieve from gloves, hats and scarves isn't in the forecast for this week. A fresh blast of cold air arrives Tuesday, as a weak clipper brings areas well north some snow. As the cold air spills back into the region, it will be windy. Temperatures won't change much on Wednesday as we look to stay below freezing all day, with wind chills staying below 20.
A little disturbance swinging around strong low pressure well to our north will pass just north of the Mason Dixon line, Wednesday night. In addition to promoting mostly cloudy skies, many areas will see the chance of a few flurries or a snow shower. Overnight temperatures in the middle 20s most will allow whatever could fall, to stick. However, with this system remaining weak, not too much is expected to fall. I wouldn't expect any impacts for Thursday morning, but that part of the forecast will come better into line as we come closer. Nevertheless, this really looks like more of a non-event for the Mid-Atlantic-- but it is our next best shot at flakes falling from the sky.
Looking over some of the modeling today, there are some early signs that a storm could develop and bring the area another wintry threat sometime over the weekend. Way too early to say for sure whether the storm will indeed come to fruition and what its track and impacts would be. A few things would need to come together just right for the storm to really come together. At this time, if there were to be a storm, I don't see any signals that would point to a big, blockbuster storm. A comparable event would be something close to what happened this weekend. Nevertheless, it's too early to really talk about this possible weekend "threat". The confidence is low with this part of the forecast. The main take away's are that it's going to be turning cold for this week, and flakes cannot be ruled out either. Stay with JB Weather for updates on the forecast.