MID ATLANTIC FORECAST
With our Weak La Nina, the warm Alaskan waters, and increased Siberian snow cover factored into our forecast, I expect that this Winter season will be colder than average. I am anticipating for December and January to be predominately cold, quite the turnaround from last winter. February will likely feature warmer temperatures, part of a mid-winter thaw. However, temperatures likely return to the below-normal column in March. Once again, it looks like Spring could take a while to get its act together, after a tease in February
SNOWFALL AND ICE THREAT
This winter will likely bring average to slightly above average snowfall across the region. I am expecting snowfall to be closer to average, the further south you go, and for coastal areas. Areas north of the Mason Dixon line should see above average snow. December and January should feature multiple, smaller storms that will mainly give northern areas snow, albeit light amounts. There may be one or two moderate snowfalls somewhere within the first two months of winter. The snow should take a break in February, and that would be when we have our increased threat of ice from freezing rain and sleet events. Some additional snow could be possible in March. I am expecting that any snow during the second half winter to favor southern areas. Below is a map of expected snowfall totals this winter, and a chart that pinpoints specific areas.
PINPOINT SNOWFALL FORECAST
Overall, it looks like we have a cold winter on the way for our area. December and January look like our coldest months, for this winter. We should see well near average snowfall this winter, with above average snowfall more likely the further north you head. I am not expecting any blizzards this winter. Instead of a couple of big events this winter, it looks like we should see multiple, smaller events. For my Southern Maryland followers, I am expecting 4-6 snow days this year for the school systems.
Stay tuned to JB Weather through the winter season for the latest Mid-Atlantic winter weather information!
-John A. Bordash