A weak system moving to our south is likely to spread light precipitation across the region tonight into tomorrow morning. Temperatures will be marginal, sitting within a couple degrees on either side of 32. This means a mix of snow, sleet, and rain is likely. Shown above is Futurecast timing this system out. Precip likely starts to overspread the area between 2-4am before shutting off around 10am. You can see that dry air works in, which may lead to some areas seeing close to nothing. Temps start to warm around 8/9am leading any snow/sleet to go over to rain for many. However, even rain should be done by late morning as dry air wins out. Where temperatures are colder, to the north, more of a snow/sleet mix is expected. Where it is warmer, points south of DC, it is likely to be more of a sleet/rain mix. Snow and sleet are the most likely to accumulate north of DC. Because it is warmer across southern zones I'm not expecting much snow, maybe up to inch for some. That snow is likely to be mixed with sleet. Any snow/sleet that accumulates will largely be in more rural zones, away from the water. The further south you go, the more likely you are to see a rain/sleet mix verses just snow. Below is my Final Call on snowfall. This is not a big event by any stretch of the imagination. However, coming right before/during the AM commute could cause some problems. Impacts will be moderate for communities in Northern MD and Northern VA. Across Southern MD, the Delmarva, and Tidewater VA this may bring elevated impacts. Some traffic problems may be possible, especially on roads not treated. What about schools? School closing odds increase the further north you head. However, I think many school systems will opt to delay. Some schools have a pre-planned 2-hour early dismissal, such as St. Mary's and Montgomery. Here, they may opt to have a delay instead of the half day. Nevertheless, I don't really see any county needing to close. Most of the winter weather should cut off around 8/9am. Again, this is not a high impact event, especially for southern zones. Any winter weather should shut off by 8/9am. Some school and travel delays are possible during the early morning hours.
-John A. Bordash
11 Comments
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