Next Chance of Accumulating Snow: Monday Night - Tuesday
Probability of Accumulating Snow (1" or more): 30%
Winter made it's presence felt across the area this morning as a weak coastal system changed last night's rain over to a mix of snow and sleet. We didn't have enough frozen precipitation to cause major issues, but it was enough be a nuisance. Our forecast of a slushy coating to 2" verified nicely across the region. Now all eyes turn to the potential winter storm threat for early next week.
At this point, we're still three to four days out from this storm, so a lot of details are unknown. I'll be gone Saturday and Sunday, which means no posts from me just limited ones from Daniel. Thus, I just wanted to give our followers a heads up with my latest thoughts before leaving.
A storm on Sunday will be sliding well to our south, and give portions of the Carolinas some rain showers. We should remain dry this weekend. If that system track a little bit further northwest, we could have some rain showers on the Eastern Shore on Sunday, but it would take a drastic change to get any precip back to Southern Maryland.
Right now, it appears that an area of low pressure will track from the Ohio Valley and across our region before developing a new low off the coast and tracks up the coast. I've seen this set up before, and it is one that tends not to work in our favor for snow lovers in SoMD. My forecast's have busted before when we have this set up, so I'll keep my forecast a bit more "conservative" or warmer at this point.
As things stand 4 days out, it looks like we will have rain showers develop Monday evening with temperatures in the 40s, with the chance of some sleet and snow mixing in NW of I95. As the new low forms Monday night into Tuesday, it will try to bring down colder air and attempt to switch us over to snow, and any precip would be down with by Tuesday afternoon. Again, I don't want to get too specific this far out because so much can change. I wouldn't expect more than a couple of inches for us, but even that is just speculation at this point. ANd before anyone asks, way too early for School Odds.
Stay with JB Weather this weekend as Daniel will have posts and updates on this storm. I'll be back Sunday afternoon with an updated forecast. Enjoy the nice weather this weekend and root for the Carolina Panthers to bring home a Super Bowl Ring ;).